Weather forecast: Plenty of dry time this week with comfortable warmth to start

Written by on May 22, 2023

Another hazy day across Rochester and Western New York as the fires in northwestern Canada continue to burn. This lasts through the afternoon and the filtered sun gets temperatures into the middle 60s. High pressure to the north keeps the north flow going and is helping to keep afternoon highs down along Lake Ontario today. Clear skies tonight mean many fall into the 40s through early Tuesday.

Wildfires in Canada continue to rage, forcing thousands to evacuate. We see it overhead in the form of a thin haze of particulate matter. pic.twitter.com/pDgoXKrohc

— James Gilbert (@JamesGilbertWX) May 22, 2023

As high pressure slides east, warmer air will surge into Western New York and the Finger Lakes and we jump some 30° into the middle 70s by Tuesday afternoon. A lake breeze will develop and there may be a few showers and storms that form along the breeze. There will be enough instability and moisture south of the thruway that could also help fuel a few showers and thunderstorms thanks to daytime heating. The 104 Corridor and most of Monroe County will stay dry Tuesday and enjoy some summer heat.

The region cashed in on a half inch to an inch of rain Saturday, and grass is taking advantage. If your lawn needs a mow (🙋‍♂️) then today is a great day for it. A few isolated showers tomorrow and a better chance for showers Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/D82zGZvD6E

— James Gilbert (@JamesGilbertWX) May 22, 2023

The next system to impact us will be a cold front Wednesday. This will be easier to track than the showers Tuesday as will make its trek across Canada, over Lake Ontario, and then through Western New York and the Finger Lakes Wednesday afternoon. If it catches on some extra moisture and convection locally, it could be a bit stronger than forecast. Otherwise, Wednesday’s high temperatures will sit right around 70°. Colder air behind the system will will be felt Thursday as highs stay in the 50s. Sunny skies ensue Friday, but we still hang in the 60s. Memorial Day weekend should be the time we can tap into big warmth with numbers well into the 70s.


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~ News 8 Weather Team

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